Arena Statistics

Attribution LMSYS December 18, 2024

Statistics for Chatbot Arena

We added some additional figures to show more statistics. The code for generating them is also included in this notebook. Please note that you may see different orders from different ranking methods. This is expected for models that perform similarly, as demonstrated by the confidence interval in the bootstrap figure. Going forward, we prefer the classical Elo calculation because of its scalability and interpretability. You can find more discussions in this blog post.

Figure 1: Confidence Intervals on Model Strength (via Bootstrapping)

Figure 2: Average Win Rate Against All Other Models (Assuming Uniform Sampling and No Ties)

Figure 3: Fraction of Model A Wins for All Non-tied A vs. B Battles

Figure 4: Battle Count for Each Combination of Models (without Ties)